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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
May 9, 2021 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
SL

Racing
2 - 0
San Lorenzo

Chancalay (16', 46')
Piatti (61'), Miranda (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Braghieri (49'), Rojas (63'), Gattoni (69'), Salazar (74'), Troyansky (85')
Rojas (90+6')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Racing Club and San Lorenzo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Racing ClubDrawSan Lorenzo
47.78%25.56%26.66%
Both teams to score 51.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.28%51.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51%73.49%
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35%21.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22%54.78%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.86%34.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.17%70.82%
Score Analysis
    Racing Club 47.78%
    San Lorenzo 26.66%
    Draw 25.55%
Racing ClubDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 9.3%
2-0 @ 8.65%
3-1 @ 4.74%
3-0 @ 4.41%
3-2 @ 2.55%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 47.78%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.39%
2-2 @ 5%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 7.94%
1-2 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 26.66%

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