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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 13, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
1 - 2
Rosario

Avila (25' og.)
Flores (44'), Gattoni (48'), Salazar (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gattoni (66' og.), Vecchio (72')
Blanco (24'), Ruben (40'), Vecchio (65')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between San Lorenzo and Rosario Central.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
San LorenzoDrawRosario Central
52.9%25.82%21.28%
Both teams to score 45.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.91%57.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.03%77.96%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34%21.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21%54.79%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.92%42.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.5%78.5%
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 52.9%
    Rosario Central 21.28%
    Draw 25.81%
San LorenzoDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 13.94%
2-0 @ 10.66%
2-1 @ 9.23%
3-0 @ 5.44%
3-1 @ 4.71%
4-0 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.8%
Other @ 3%
Total : 52.9%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 9.11%
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 7.89%
1-2 @ 5.22%
0-2 @ 3.41%
1-3 @ 1.51%
2-3 @ 1.15%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 21.28%

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