Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
