Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 48.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
