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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 30, 2021 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
AT

Newell's OB
1 - 2
Tucuman

Scocco (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mussis (53'), Lotti (86')
Orihuela (69'), Cabral (73')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Newell's Old Boys and Atletico Tucuman.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 48.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 24.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawAtletico Tucuman
48.8%26.27%24.93%
Both teams to score 48.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.36%55.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.21%76.79%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16%22.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44%56.56%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27%37.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49%74.51%
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 48.8%
    Atletico Tucuman 24.93%
    Draw 26.26%
Newell's Old BoysDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 12.72%
2-0 @ 9.4%
2-1 @ 9.16%
3-0 @ 4.63%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 48.8%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 8.62%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.4%
1-2 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 4.09%
1-3 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 24.93%

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