Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 50.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Union had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Union win it was 1-0 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
