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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Sep 7, 2021 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
4 - 0
Union

Orellano (54'), Martin Lucero (56'), Janson (76'), Centurion (87')
Gianetti (22'), Mancuello (61'), Ortega (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Union.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 53.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Union had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawUnion
53.08%25.51%21.41%
Both teams to score 46.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.13%55.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.01%76.99%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91%21.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.09%53.91%
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.75%41.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.22%77.78%
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 53.07%
    Union 21.41%
    Draw 25.5%
Velez SarsfieldDrawUnion
1-0 @ 13.53%
2-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 9.33%
3-0 @ 5.47%
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 53.07%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 8.7%
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.7%
1-2 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 3.41%
1-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.22%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 21.41%

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