Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 53.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Union had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
