Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 74.83%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 9.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 3-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
