Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Huracan had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Huracan win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.