Velez Sarsfield
4 - 1
Santa Fe

De La Fuente (7'), Bouzat (42'), Orellano (85'), Martin Lucero (87')
De La Fuente (13'), Brizuela (19'), Gianetti (70')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Calderon (20')
Carlos Portillo (23'), Marquez (71'), Blasi (73')
Calderon (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Santa Fe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Santa Fe had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Santa Fe win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Santa Fe
39.52%	27.45%	33.03%

Both teams to score 49.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.55%

56.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.54%

77.45%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11%

27.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.5%

63.49%

Santa Fe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.11%

31.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.66%

68.34%

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 39.51%

Santa Fe 33.03%

Draw 27.44%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Santa Fe
1-0 @ 11.35% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.88% Total : 39.51%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.44%	0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.03%