Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Talleres win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.