Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 47.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.
