Velez Sarsfield
1 - 0
Newell's OB

Martin Lucero (35')
Mancuello (45')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Perez (23'), Fernandez (67')
Perez (57')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Newell's Old Boys.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 47.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
47.57%	26.68%	25.75%

Both teams to score 47.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.4%

56.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.42%

77.58%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.18%

23.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.01%

57.99%

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.45%

37.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.67%

74.33%

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 47.57%

Newell's Old Boys 25.75%

Draw 26.67%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 12.83% 2-0 @ 9.2% 2-1 @ 9.02% 3-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.57% Total : 47.57%	1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 8.76% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 4.29% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.69% Total : 25.75%