Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Cesena had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Cesena win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bologna in this match.
0.02) 
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