SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cremonese | Draw | Bologna |
33.07% ( 0.04) | 25.97% ( 0.04) | 40.96% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.78% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.49% ( -0.15) | 50.5% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.57% ( -0.13) | 72.43% ( 0.14) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% ( -0.05) | 28.89% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.24% ( -0.06) | 64.76% ( 0.06) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.63% ( -0.1) | 24.37% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.22% ( -0.15) | 58.78% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cremonese | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.07% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.96% |
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