Neither side are prolific and both have lacked a regular goalscorer in recent weeks. Therefore, a low-scoring draw could be on the cards, as Roma will be distracted by their upcoming trip to Germany; allowing Bologna to take advantage by adding to an impressive home points total.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (12.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.25) 
0.03) 
