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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
BL

Lecce
2 - 3
Bologna

Banda (17'), Oudin (88')
Gallo (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arnautovic (58'), Zirkzee (81'), Ferguson (90+7')
Posch (35'), Aebischer (84'), Zirkzee (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 0-1 Lecce
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-2 Napoli
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 2-2 Bologna

The Stadio Via del Mare faithful will be in party mode on Sunday as they cheer on their team without any lingering relegation fears. Bologna will be eager to finish as high up the table as possible, but the visitors may have to settle for a share of the spoils as the hosts aim to sign off on a high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawBologna
35.99% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 27.9% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 36.11% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.11% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.87% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)78.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)30.68% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.07% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)66.93% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4% (0.040999999999997 0.04)30.6% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.16% (0.047999999999995 0.05)66.83% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 35.98%
    Bologna 36.11%
    Draw 27.89%
LecceDrawBologna
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 35.98%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Monza 0-1 Lecce
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Spezia
Sunday, May 21 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Lecce
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, May 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-1 Lecce
Wednesday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Udinese
Friday, April 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-2 Napoli
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 1-5 Bologna
Saturday, May 20 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Roma
Sunday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Bologna
Monday, May 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 3-1 Bologna
Thursday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, April 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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