Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match.
0.49) 
-0.51) 
