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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 4.15pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
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Genoa
0 - 1
Bologna


Galdames (38'), Criscito (54'), Skiri Oestigaard (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barrow (66')
Aebischer (25')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 2-1 Bologna

Up against one of Serie A's weakest away sides this season - Bologna have picked up just three wins and averaged less than a point per game on the road - Genoa can sign off with a rare victory. The visitors cannot be caught from behind in the standings, so should end a satisfactory campaign 13th, and can then plan for next season in the top flight - unlike their unfortunate hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawBologna
41.25% (-0.822 -0.82) 27.11% (0.29 0.29) 31.64% (0.533 0.53)
Both teams to score 49.73% (-0.67 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51% (-0.947 -0.95)55.49% (0.948 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33% (-0.781 -0.78)76.68% (0.783 0.78)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (-0.86799999999999 -0.87)26.48% (0.868 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.33% (-1.168 -1.17)61.67% (1.168 1.17)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.64% (-0.111 -0.11)32.36% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.13% (-0.127 -0.13)68.87% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 41.24%
    Bologna 31.64%
    Draw 27.11%
GenoaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 11.38% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 41.24%
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.309 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.11%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.321 0.32)
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.45% (0.164 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 31.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Genoa
Sunday, May 15 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Juventus
Friday, May 6 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-0 Genoa
Saturday, April 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Cagliari
Sunday, April 24 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Genoa
Friday, April 15 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-4 Lazio
Sunday, April 10 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-3 Sassuolo
Sunday, May 15 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 4-3 Bologna
Sunday, May 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 0-0 Bologna
Sunday, May 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, April 27 at 7.15pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-2 Udinese
Sunday, April 24 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Bologna
Saturday, April 16 at 5.30pm in Serie A


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