Up against one of Serie A's weakest away sides this season - Bologna have picked up just three wins and averaged less than a point per game on the road - Genoa can sign off with a rare victory.
The visitors cannot be caught from behind in the standings, so should end a satisfactory campaign 13th, and can then plan for next season in the top flight - unlike their unfortunate hosts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
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