Sassuolo are still dangerous opponents on their day, despite recent results to the contrary, and the impetus of a local rivalry should help to inspire them to a first win in five matches. Not only that, but the Neroverdi rank as high as eighth in terms of their Serie A away record this term, while last week's events demonstrate that an improving Bologna can still be caught out defensively. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Sassuolo
45.51% ( 2.07)	22.24% ( -0.37)	32.25% ( -1.7)

Both teams to score 66.82% (

0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.65% (

1.2)

33.36% (

-1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.87% (

1.37)

55.13% (

-1.37)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.69% (

1.24)

15.31% (

-1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.96% (

2.28)

44.04% (

-2.28)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.89% (

-0.32)

21.11% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.06% (

-0.51)

53.94% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Bologna 45.51%

Sassuolo 32.25%

Draw 22.24%

Bologna	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.17) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.18% Total : 45.51%	1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.24%	1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.71% Total : 32.25%