Sassuolo are still dangerous opponents on their day, despite recent results to the contrary, and the impetus of a local rivalry should help to inspire them to a first win in five matches.
Not only that, but the Neroverdi rank as high as eighth in terms of their Serie A away record this term, while last week's events demonstrate that an improving Bologna can still be caught out defensively.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.