Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.