Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 69.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 11.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
