Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Cittadella
32.29% ( -0.29)	25.47% ( 0.16)	42.24% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 55.17% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.4% (

-0.77)

48.6% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.29% (

-0.7)

70.72% (

0.7)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.55% (

-0.56)

28.45% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.79% (

-0.71)

64.21% (

0.72)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.11% (

-0.27)

22.89% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.36% (

-0.39)

56.64% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Empoli 32.29%

Cittadella 42.24%

Draw 25.47%

Empoli	Draw	Cittadella
1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.29%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 8.9% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.24%