SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 1-0 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Genoa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | Genoa |
33.4% ( -0.08) | 28.51% ( 0.01) | 38.09% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.11% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.76% ( -0.04) | 60.24% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.58% ( -0.03) | 80.42% ( 0.03) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% ( -0.08) | 33.6% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.76% ( -0.08) | 70.24% ( 0.08) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.43% ( 0.03) | 30.57% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.2% ( 0.03) | 66.8% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cittadella | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.4% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.49% | 0-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.09% |
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