This is tough to call due to Samp's poor goalscoring form at the Marassi, where nine goals rank as the worst in the division, and Empoli's 13 road goals better three teams in Serie A.
Monday's game should be low-scoring, with both teams cancelling each other out.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.34) 
0.03) 
