As Empoli have scored at a rate below one-goal-per-game this season, Juventus can capitalise on their hosts' blunt attack and post another trademark low-scoring win. They may be injury-hit and suffering from the latest setback of a trying campaign, but Juve still boast sufficient firepower to get the job done.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 48.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 25.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.18) 
