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Sunday, April 28
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EL
Coppa Italia | Second Round
Dec 15, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
HV

Empoli
3 - 4
Hellas Verona

Cancellieri (18'), Ilic (86'), Ragusa (88')
Sutalo (90+1'), Hongla (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
La Mantia (15'), Mancuso (66' pen., 70'), Bajrami (74')
Stulac (38'), Romagnoli (45+4'), Cutrone (90+2')
La Mantia (90+3')

We said: Hellas Verona 2-1 Empoli

Given Empoli have won twice as many league games as they have lost on the road, they will be a stern proposition for Verona to face in their second round tie. Nonetheless, home advantage has spurred the Gialloblu on to greater heights over the past couple of months, and their rejuvenated front line can see them through what is sure to be a close-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawHellas Verona
41.05%24.23%34.72%
Both teams to score 60.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7%42.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.3%64.7%
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25%20.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62%53.38%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03%23.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79%58.21%
Score Analysis
    Empoli 41.05%
    Hellas Verona 34.72%
    Draw 24.23%
EmpoliDrawHellas Verona
2-1 @ 8.79%
1-0 @ 7.82%
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-2 @ 3.29%
3-0 @ 3.22%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 41.05%
1-1 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 7.98%
0-1 @ 7.11%
0-2 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.42%
1-4 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 34.72%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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