We said: Sampdoria 2-2 Hellas Verona
Ahead of winnable games against Cagliari and Venezia in the coming week, Verona can take a point home with them on Saturday - continuing their growing unbeaten run.
Samp, though, should take a share of the spoils, as their visitors' form is less impressive away from the Bentegodi.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
