We said: Hellas Verona 2-1 Empoli
Empoli will be pleased with their recent form, but it is difficult to look past Verona considering that they have won each of their last four league games on home soil; we are expecting a tight contest, though, with the winner for the hosts potentially coming late on.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hellas Verona in this match.
