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NL
Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 7, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
HV

Napoli
1 - 1
Hellas Verona

Di Lorenzo (18')
Rrahmani (31'), Osimhen (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Simeone (13')
Barak (41'), Veloso (59'), Dawidowicz (68'), Bessa (80'), Kalinic (85')
Bessa (88'), Kalinic (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 12.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawHellas Verona
70.15%17.32%12.53%
Both teams to score 54.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.84%36.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.73%58.27%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.78%9.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.79%31.21%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.58%40.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.97%77.03%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 70.15%
    Hellas Verona 12.53%
    Draw 17.32%
NapoliDrawHellas Verona
2-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 9.59%
1-0 @ 8.89%
3-0 @ 8.42%
3-1 @ 7.62%
4-0 @ 5.02%
4-1 @ 4.54%
3-2 @ 3.45%
5-0 @ 2.39%
5-1 @ 2.17%
4-2 @ 2.06%
5-2 @ 0.98%
6-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 70.15%
1-1 @ 8.05%
2-2 @ 4.35%
0-0 @ 3.73%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.32%
1-2 @ 3.65%
0-1 @ 3.38%
0-2 @ 1.53%
2-3 @ 1.31%
1-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 12.53%

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