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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
GL

Empoli
2 - 2
Genoa

Di Francesco (62'), Zurkowski (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Criscito (13' pen.), Bianchi (89')
Rovella (27'), Sturaro (64'), Masiello (74'), Vasquez (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawGenoa
45.61%23.96%30.43%
Both teams to score 59.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.42%42.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.01%64.99%
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12%18.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.65%50.35%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32%26.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06%61.94%
Score Analysis
    Empoli 45.61%
    Genoa 30.43%
    Draw 23.96%
EmpoliDrawGenoa
2-1 @ 9.25%
1-0 @ 8.4%
2-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-0 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 1.62%
4-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 45.61%
1-1 @ 11.09%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-1 @ 6.66%
0-2 @ 4.4%
1-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 1.94%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 30.43%

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