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FL
Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 13, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
4 - 0
Cosenza

Vlahovic (4', 45+4'), Gonzalez (37'), Venuti (51')
Pezzella (54')
FT(HT: 3-0)

T (45+1'), Sueva (56')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Fiorentina and Cosenza Calcio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawCosenza Calcio
54.76%23.46%21.77%
Both teams to score 52.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.51%47.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.3%69.69%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78%17.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.49%47.5%
Cosenza Calcio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.87%36.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.09%72.91%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 54.76%
    Cosenza Calcio 21.77%
    Draw 23.46%
FiorentinaDrawCosenza Calcio
1-0 @ 10.94%
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 9.63%
3-1 @ 5.75%
3-0 @ 5.65%
3-2 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 2.48%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 54.76%
1-1 @ 11.14%
0-0 @ 6.22%
2-2 @ 4.99%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.46%
0-1 @ 6.33%
1-2 @ 5.67%
0-2 @ 3.22%
1-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 21.77%

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