Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.