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Serie A | Gameweek 34
May 2, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
FL

Bologna
3 - 3
Fiorentina

Palacio (31', 71', 84')
Soumaoro (20'), Svanberg (47')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vlahovic (21' pen., 74'), Bonaventura (64')
Milenkovic (76'), Julio (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
BolognaDrawFiorentina
38.11%25.32%36.58%
Both teams to score 56.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88%47.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.64%69.36%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66%24.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27%58.73%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83%25.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1%59.9%
Score Analysis
    Bologna 38.11%
    Fiorentina 36.58%
    Draw 25.31%
BolognaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.66%
2-1 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 6.12%
3-1 @ 3.98%
3-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.02%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 38.11%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.13%
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 8.45%
1-2 @ 8.24%
0-2 @ 5.83%
1-3 @ 3.79%
0-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 0.92%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 36.58%

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