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FL
Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 16, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
NL

Fiorentina
0 - 2
Napoli


Milenkovic (31'), Ribery (43'), Caceres (49'), Castrovilli (61'), Pezzella (80')
Dragowski (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Insigne (56'), Venuti (67' og.)
Rrahmani (22'), Contini (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawNapoli
18.3%20.76%60.94%
Both teams to score 56.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.65%40.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.28%62.72%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43%35.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66%72.34%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2%12.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.89%39.11%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 18.3%
    Napoli 60.94%
    Draw 20.76%
FiorentinaDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 5%
1-0 @ 4.71%
2-0 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 1.77%
3-1 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 18.3%
1-1 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 5.14%
0-0 @ 4.55%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.76%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-2 @ 9.62%
0-1 @ 9.36%
1-3 @ 6.82%
0-3 @ 6.59%
2-3 @ 3.52%
1-4 @ 3.5%
0-4 @ 3.39%
2-4 @ 1.81%
1-5 @ 1.44%
0-5 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 60.94%

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