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FL
Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 8, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
LL

Fiorentina
2 - 0
Lazio

Vlahovic (32', 89')
Venuti (5'), Vlahovic (44'), Pezzella (58'), Iachini (88'), Caceres (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Acerbi (28'), Leiva (60'), Radu (66'), Felipe (74'), Pereira (77'), Cataldi (90+1'), Akpa-Akpro (90+6')
Pereira (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawLazio
28.93%24.62%46.44%
Both teams to score 56.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.63%46.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.34%68.66%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39%29.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35%65.65%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.95%20.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.73%52.27%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 28.93%
    Lazio 46.44%
    Draw 24.62%
FiorentinaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 7.23%
2-1 @ 7.07%
2-0 @ 4.4%
3-1 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 28.93%
1-1 @ 11.61%
0-0 @ 5.94%
2-2 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 9.54%
1-2 @ 9.33%
0-2 @ 7.67%
1-3 @ 5%
0-3 @ 4.11%
2-3 @ 3.04%
1-4 @ 2.01%
0-4 @ 1.65%
2-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 46.44%

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