Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 50.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 1-0 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.