We said: Fiorentina 1-3 Juventus
Despite Fiorentina being the marginal underdogs, this has all the makings of a really entertaining tussle. The home side will know the importance of holding a lead ahead of the second leg, but we feel that Juventus will still prevail despite the absence of Vlahovic.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
