There was nothing to split the sides when Fiorentina came back to secure a 2-2 draw in December, and the spoils may be shared once again between two enterprising teams.
Though sure to be lifted by their brilliant performance last week, Sassuolo have won just three of their 13 home games in Serie A, while their visitors certainly travel better than they used to do, so will pick up at least a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sassuolo in this match.
