The first of two encounters between these attack-minded teams in the next fortnight promises to provide some exciting football, even if both sides have been hit-and-miss of late.
The hosts should win through to the semi-finals once again, as Fiorentina travel particularly badly and are still in the process of reconfiguration post-Vlahovic.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 20.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
