Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pordenone Calcio win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pordenone Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.