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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 13, 2021 at 4.45pm UK
Stadio Ottavio Bottecchia
SC

Pordenone
1 - 3
Spezia

Folorunsho (51' pen.)
Pellegrini (13'), Kupisz (59'), Misuraca (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Erlic (39'), Nikolaou (45+3'), Colley (83' pen.)
Mraz (70')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Pordenone Calcio and Spezia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pordenone Calcio win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pordenone Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Pordenone CalcioDrawSpezia
43.97%25.49%30.54%
Both teams to score 54.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.68%49.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.63%71.37%
Pordenone Calcio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62%22.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12%55.88%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01%29.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9%66.1%
Score Analysis
    Pordenone Calcio 43.97%
    Spezia 30.54%
    Draw 25.48%
Pordenone CalcioDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 7.52%
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 43.97%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.71%
2-2 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 8.08%
1-2 @ 7.29%
0-2 @ 4.87%
1-3 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 30.54%

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