Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Napoli |
17.62% | 20.54% | 61.84% |
Both teams to score 55.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.5% | 40.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.12% | 62.88% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.58% | 36.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.79% | 73.21% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.41% | 12.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.32% | 38.68% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 4.85% 1-0 @ 4.63% 2-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.69% 3-1 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.48% Total : 17.62% | 1-1 @ 9.6% 2-2 @ 5.02% 0-0 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.54% | 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.85% 0-1 @ 9.5% 1-3 @ 6.87% 0-3 @ 6.8% 1-4 @ 3.56% 0-4 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 3.47% 2-4 @ 1.8% 1-5 @ 1.48% 0-5 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.59% Total : 61.84% |
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