SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 51.47%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Lecce |
| 25.46% | 23.07% | 51.47% |
| Both teams to score 58.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.04% | 41.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.64% | 64.36% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.11% | 29.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.01% | 65.99% |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.61% | 16.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.98% | 46.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Lecce |
| 2-1 @ 6.46% 1-0 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 3.57% 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.13% Total : 25.46% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 9.68% 0-1 @ 8.86% 0-2 @ 8.01% 1-3 @ 5.83% 0-3 @ 4.83% 2-3 @ 3.52% 1-4 @ 2.64% 0-4 @ 2.19% 2-4 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.37% Total : 51.47% |
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