Spezia
0 - 1
Bologna

Reca (38'), Salcedo (71'), N'Zola (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Arnautovic (83' pen.)
Arnautovic (88')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Given their surprise defeat last time out, Bologna will throw caution to the wind here to remain in contention for the European spots. While Spezia will ensure that the visitors do not have it all their own way, we still expect a narrow win for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Bologna
40.18%	25.53%	34.29%

Both teams to score 55.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.66%

48.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.52%

70.48%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.2%

23.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.03%

57.96%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93%

27.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.55%

62.45%

Score Analysis

Spezia 40.18%

Bologna 34.29%

Draw 25.52%

Spezia	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 9.25% 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.18%	1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.44% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 8.42% 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.29%