MX23RW : Sunday, January 22 17:11:32
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Sunday, January 22
Dec 13, 2021 at 7.45pm UK at Stadio Olimpico
Roma
2 - 0
Spezia
Smalling (6'), Ibanez (56')
Vina (54'), Kumbulla (65'), Afena-Gyan (70')
Afena-Gyan (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gyasi (90+2')

We said: Roma 2-1 Spezia

While often caught short by clubs competing at the top of the standings, Roma are usually efficient against the league's minnows - particularly on home soil. The smart money is on Rome-born Verde to continue his scoring run against his childhood club, but Spezia cannot keep the back door shut for long enough to capitalise in Rome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 71.82%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 11.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
RomaDrawSpezia
71.82%16.9%11.28%
Both teams to score 51.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.37%37.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.13%59.87%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.79%9.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.82%31.18%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.52%43.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.31%79.69%
Score Analysis
    Roma 71.82%
    Spezia 11.28%
    Draw 16.9%
RomaDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 11.39%
1-0 @ 9.55%
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 9.06%
3-1 @ 7.54%
4-0 @ 5.4%
4-1 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 3.14%
5-0 @ 2.58%
5-1 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.87%
6-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 71.82%
1-1 @ 7.96%
0-0 @ 4.01%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 16.9%
0-1 @ 3.34%
1-2 @ 3.31%
0-2 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.1%
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 11.28%

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Serie A Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19162146143250
2AC Milan18115235201538
3Inter Milan18121538241437
4Lazio18104431151634
5Atalanta BCAtalanta18104434201434
6Roma1810442316734
7Udinese197752721628
8Torino197571920-126
9Fiorentina196582125-423
10Juventus18114327121522
11Monza196492328-522
12Bologna186482329-622
13Empoli185761622-622
14Lecce194871822-420
15SpeziaSpezia184681728-1118
16Salernitana194692337-1418
17SassuoloSassuolo1945101829-1117
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1933131731-1412
19Sampdoria192314832-249
20Cremonese1807111332-197
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