Roma
2 - 0
Spezia

Smalling (6'), Ibanez (56')
Vina (54'), Kumbulla (65'), Afena-Gyan (70')
Afena-Gyan (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gyasi (90+2')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Roma and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

While often caught short by clubs competing at the top of the standings, Roma are usually efficient against the league's minnows - particularly on home soil. The smart money is on Rome-born Verde to continue his scoring run against his childhood club, but Spezia cannot keep the back door shut for long enough to capitalise in Rome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 71.82%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 11.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
Roma	Draw	Spezia
71.82%	16.9%	11.28%

Both teams to score 51.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.37%

37.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.13%

59.87%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.79%

9.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.82%

31.18%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.52%

43.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.31%

79.69%

Score Analysis

Roma 71.82%

Spezia 11.28%

Draw 16.9%

Roma	Draw	Spezia
2-0 @ 11.39% 1-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 9.06% 3-1 @ 7.54% 4-0 @ 5.4% 4-1 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 3.14% 5-0 @ 2.58% 5-1 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.87% 6-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 4.15% Total : 71.82%	1-1 @ 7.96% 0-0 @ 4.01% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.99% Total : 16.9%	0-1 @ 3.34% 1-2 @ 3.31% 0-2 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.1% 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.22% Total : 11.28%