Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 62.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Parma had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.