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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 6, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
TL

Spezia
1 - 0
Torino

Sala (58')
Amian (65'), Nikolaou (76'), Kovalenko (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rincon (38'), Linetty (52'), Sanabria (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawTorino
36.39%27.09%36.53%
Both teams to score 50.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.29%54.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.97%76.03%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12%28.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25%64.75%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21%28.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36%64.64%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 36.38%
    Torino 36.52%
    Draw 27.08%
SpeziaDrawTorino
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 7.99%
2-0 @ 6.41%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.38%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.31%
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 10.35%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 6.44%
1-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 36.52%

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