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COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 13, 2021 at 11am UK
Wolfson Stadium
NN

Malawi
1 - 1
Namibia

Mhone (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kambindu (53')
Stephanus (50'), Horaeb (50'), Junias Theophilus (86'), Heita (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Namibia had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Namibia win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
MalawiDrawNamibia
37.22%26.7%36.08%
Both teams to score 51.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.84%53.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.27%74.73%
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36%27.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82%63.18%
Namibia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68%28.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.96%64.04%
Score Analysis
    Malawi 37.21%
    Namibia 36.08%
    Draw 26.7%
MalawiDrawNamibia
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 6.47%
3-1 @ 3.5%
3-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 37.21%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 7.83%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 9.87%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 6.23%
1-3 @ 3.37%
0-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.17%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 36.08%

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