Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Namibia had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Namibia win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
