Mozambique
2 - 0
Malawi

J. Tesoura Junior (55' pen.), Nelson Simbine (68')
Muze (53'), J. Tesoura Junior (60'), M. Nangy (65'), A. Siluane (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Chirwa (14'), Kuwali (22')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's COSAFA Cup clash between Mozambique and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Malawi win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.

Result
Mozambique	Draw	Malawi
45.21%	26.76%	28.03%

Both teams to score 49.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.44%

55.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.27%

76.73%

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.51%

24.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.05%

58.95%

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.91%

35.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.16%

71.84%

Score Analysis

Mozambique 45.2%

Malawi 28.03%

Draw 26.76%

Mozambique	Draw	Malawi
1-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 8.5% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.49% Total : 45.2%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 8.59% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.1% Total : 28.03%