Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 95.66%. A draw had a probability of 3.6% and a win for Raon l'Etape had a probability of 0.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (14.6%) and 0-5 (11.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.62%), while for a Raon l'Etape win it was 1-0 (0.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.2) 
