Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 84.47%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Angouleme had a probability of 4.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.51%) and 0-1 (10.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.24%), while for an Angouleme win it was 1-0 (1.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.