Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 43.16%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.
0.17) 
-0.1) 
