On paper, this would be a walk in the park for Monaco, but Nantes have turned the Stade de la Beaujoire into a fortress and are more than capable of taking advantage of Les Monegasques' downward spiral.
Tchouameni's return cannot be understated, though, and even though we have faith in a resilient Nantes to hold on in normal time, Monaco's revered names ought to get the job done from 12 yards to send the Principality side into their second successive Coupe de France final.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%).