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Coupe de France | Semi-Finals
Mar 2, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
M

Nantes
2 - 2
Monaco

Nantes win 4-2 on penalties
Sidibe (21' og.), Moutoussamy (74')
FT
(aet)
Maripan (12'), Boadu (76')

We say: Nantes 1-1 Monaco (Monaco to win on penalties)

On paper, this would be a walk in the park for Monaco, but Nantes have turned the Stade de la Beaujoire into a fortress and are more than capable of taking advantage of Les Monegasques' downward spiral. Tchouameni's return cannot be understated, though, and even though we have faith in a resilient Nantes to hold on in normal time, Monaco's revered names ought to get the job done from 12 yards to send the Principality side into their second successive Coupe de France final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%).

Result
NantesDrawMonaco
31.18%26.41%42.4%
Both teams to score 51.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.1%52.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.49%74.5%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.65%31.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28%67.71%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3%24.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76%59.24%
Score Analysis
    Nantes 31.18%
    Monaco 42.4%
    Draw 26.41%
NantesDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 8.98%
2-1 @ 7.29%
2-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.97%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 31.18%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 7.74%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 10.82%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-2 @ 7.57%
1-3 @ 4.09%
0-3 @ 3.53%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.43%
0-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.4%

Read more!
Read more!


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